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Brian M. Gurbaxani, Email: buw8@cdc.gov
B.M.G., A.N.H., and R.B.S. conceived the study. B.M.G. and A.N.H. did the background research and wrote the primary draft of the manuscript. A.N.H. served as the primary statistician for the project, adapted and modified the models and methods, and programmed the models and equations in R. B.M.G. and P.P. served as secondary statisticians and provided critical review of the models and equations, and B.M.G. provided some ancillary models and equations. B.M.G. and A.N.H. contributed equally to the paper. All authors helped pull together the parameters needed for the models from the primary literature and other sources, and all authors contributed to writing and critical review of the final manuscript.
The authors would like to thank all reviewers at the CDC who added to the clarity of the final manuscript, as well as other members of the CDC COVID-19 Response Modeling and Analytics Task Force for helpful discussions. Disclaimer: The findings and conclusions in this report are those of the authors and do not necessarily represent the official position of the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC).
The authors declare no competing interests.
All authors are employees of the CDC—no external funding was needed.
© This is a U.S. Government work and not under copyright protection in the US; foreign copyright protection may apply 2022